Stagione Stagione Stagione Stagione Stagione A Calendario e Risultati Gir. B Classifica Gir. Stagione Stagione Struttura e contatti Regole Domande frequenti Storia. Tappa 1 - Quartu S. Elena Tappa 2 - S.
Foto Gallery. News Serie A. Serie A Filtri. Filtro titolo. Visualizza n. Torna su. Serie Aon, il palinsesto delle dirette a Bellaria Igea Marina. Serie Aon: La Lazio vince il big match con il Viareggio. Serie Aon: Happy Car Sambenedettese. Serie Aon: Pisa, game, set, incontro! Serie Aon: primo successo stagionale del Bragno. Serie Aon: La Lazio conquista lo scontro diretto con il Pisa. Serie Aon: Gori faValenti e il Viareggio conquista il quinto successo di fila. Serie Aon: La Vastese con grinta e cuore supera il Romagna.
Serie Aon: Ruggito del Brescia, Rimini ko. Serie Aon: La tappa di Lignano, un inizio formidabile. Serie Aon: terzo successo stagionale per il Pisa. Serie Aon: Il Brescia si prende lo scontro diretto con il Romagna.
Serie Aon: La Lazio vola alta sul cielo di Lignano. Serie Aon: Viareggio sull'ottovolante! Serie Aon: Tutto il fascino della tappa di San Benedetto. Serie Aon: Pisa cala il pokerissimo. Serie Aon: Viareggio 10 e lode! Serie Aon: Lazio Serie Aon: Brescia, primo urlo di gioia.Stagione Stagione Stagione Stagione Stagione A Calendario e Risultati Gir.
B Classifica Gir. Stagione Stagione Struttura e contatti Regole Domande frequenti Storia. Tappa 1 - Quartu S. Elena Tappa 2 - S. Foto Gallery. News Serie A. Serie A Filtri. Filtro titolo. Visualizza n. Torna su. Serie Aon: La Vastese con grinta e cuore supera il Romagna. Serie Aon: Ruggito del Brescia, Rimini ko. Serie Aon: La tappa di Lignano, un inizio formidabile. Serie Aon: terzo successo stagionale per il Pisa. Serie Aon: Il Brescia si prende lo scontro diretto con il Romagna. Serie Aon: La Lazio vola alta sul cielo di Lignano.
Serie Aon: Viareggio sull'ottovolante! Serie Aon: Tutto il fascino della tappa di San Benedetto. Serie Aon: Pisa cala il pokerissimo. Serie Aon: Viareggio 10 e lode! Serie Aon: Lazio Serie Aon: Brescia, primo urlo di gioia. Sesto acuto consecutivo. Serie Aon: Napoli super, Catania ko. Serie Aon: Quinto successo di fila del Terracina. Serie Aon: Sicilia sorprende l'Ecosistem Catanzaro. Serie Aon: La Lazio ne fa sei alla Vastese. Serie Aon: Viareggio incontenibile.To list all the models, you can use the model base URL.
By default, only the 20 most recent models will be returned. You can get your list of models directly in your browser using your own username and API key with the following links. You can also paginate, filter, and order your models. This is valid for both regression and classification models. Objective Weights: submitting a specific weight for each class in classification models.
Automatic Balancing: setting the balance argument to true to let BigML automatically balance all the classes evenly. Let's see each method in more detail. We can use it as an input to create a model that will use to weight each instance accordingly.
In this case, fraudulent transactions will weigh 10 times more than valid transactions in the model building computations. You can just use one of the rows and add the corresponding count as a weight field. This will reduce the size of your sources enormously. Objective Weights The second method for adding weights only applies to classification models.
Each instance will be weighted according to its class weight. This means the example below is equivalent to the example above. If every weight does end up zero (this is possible with sampled datasets), then the resulting model will have a single node with a nil output. Each instance will be weighted individually according to the weight field's value. Confidence, importance, and pruning calculations also take weights into account.
You can create an ensemble just as you would create a model with the following three basic machine learning techniques: bagging, random decision forests, and gradient tree boosting. Bagging, also known as bootstrap aggregating, is one of the simplest ensemble-based strategies but often outperforms strategies that are more complex.
The basic idea is to use a different random subset of the original dataset for each model in the ensemble.Here is today (August 25, 2016) link. I just added two new posts (and, hoping for a third later tonight. But, I do not believe their topline numbers, because they should not be using 2012 vote as proxy for party identification. Some thoughts on aggregating state-by-state predictions into topline election forecasts. No evidence of a Bradley Effect in polling. Trump is doing equally bad in live telephone and online polling.
The markets likely assume the poll numbers coming out of the convention will continue to look good. I think anything over 4 pp on Pollster will be an upswing in the markets and below 4 pp a downswing.
Rolling into Philadelphia now. Will live blog and tweet as the night progresses. This time, not from the arena, but a well situated bar near the arena. Welcome to Night 4 of the RNC. I am live, in the arena, as the action unfolds.
Giacomo, l’unico 100 e lode uscito dalla maturità classica
Follow me either on PredictWise or Twitter. I am at the RNC. Not sure what I am going to see, but I am credentialed member of the press for the next two days. Will keep you posted on the blog and on Twitter. I will be blogging live here.
Last night was a bit of a wash for the RNC. The main prime time speech went over well, when it happened, but it turned out to be (partially) plagiarized. The big nights will be Wednesday and Thursday, when PredictWise (i. The expectations for the convention are pretty low, meaning that it could be a gain for him, if he does well. I will be back with daily updates in the Musing section as well as regular Tweets and Facebook updates.
Site last updated at 8 PM ET yesterday, but I hope to have the data flowing in the next few hours. In the meanwhile, will tweet out updates if anything changes.
But, should not be a huge worry. UPDATE: all fixed by 11:30 AM ET today. Sorry for any issues Are prediction markets now too stable, because people trust them too much. I explore with Andrew Gelman in a new post at Slate. I know it is not as sexy or important as the president, but senate races are just really exciting.
Wisconsin and Illinois are very likely Democrats gains from Republicans in blue states. Nevada is now a tight hold for the Democrats. Indiana, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Florid are all leaning Republican by a whisker.These transforms have certain special geometric properties: the conversions between odds for and odds against (resp. They are thus specified by three points (sharply 3-transitive). Swapping odds for and odds against swaps 0 and infinity, fixing 1, while swapping probability of success with probability of failure swaps 0 and 1, fixing.
Converting odds to probability fixes 0, sends infinity to 1, and sends 1 to. In probability theory and Bayesian statistics, odds may sometimes be more natural or more convenient than probabilities. This is often the case in problems of sequential decision making as for instance in problems of how to stop (online) on a last specific event which is solved by the odds algorithm.
Similar ratios are used elsewhere in Bayesian statistics, such as the Bayes factor. Odds-ratios are often used in analysis of clinical trials. In some cases the log-odds are used, which is the logit of the probability. Most simply, odds are frequently multiplied or divided, and log converts multiplication to addition and division to subtractions.
Answer: The odds in favour of a blue marble are 2:13. One can equivalently say, that the odds are 13:2 against. There are 2 out of 15 chances in favour of blue, 13 out of 15 against blue. That value may be regarded as the relative probability the event will happen, expressed as a fraction (if it is less than 1), or a multiple (if it is equal to or greater than one) of the likelihood that the event will not happen.
In the very first example at top, saying the odds of a Sunday are "one to six" or, less commonly, "one-sixth" means the probability of picking a Sunday randomly is one-sixth the probability of not picking a Sunday. While the mathematical probability of an event has a value in the range from zero to one, "the odds" in favor of that same event lie between zero and infinity. It is 6 times as likely that a random day is not a Sunday.
The use of odds in gambling facilitates betting on events where the relative probabilities of outcomes varied. For example, on a coin toss or a match race between two evenly matched horses, it is reasonable for two people to wager level stakes. However, in more variable situations, such as a multi-runner horse race or a football match between two unequally matched sides, betting "at odds" provides a perspective on the relative likelihoods of the possible outcomes.
In the modern era, most fixed odds betting takes place between a betting organisation, such as a bookmaker, and an individual, rather than between individuals. Different traditions have grown up in how to express odds to customers, older era's came with betting odds between people, today which is illegal in most countries, it was referred as "odding", an underground slang word with origins based in the Bronx. Favoured by bookmakers in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and also common in horse racing, fractional odds quote the net total that will be paid out to the bettor, should he or she win, relative to the stake.
However, not all fractional odds are traditionally read using the lowest common denominator. Odds with a denominator of 1 are often presented in listings as the numerator only. Fractional and Hong Kong odds are actually exchangeable. The only difference is that the UK odds are presented as a fractional notation (e.
Both exhibit the net return. The European odds also represent the potential winnings (net returns), but in addition they factor in the stake (e. This is considered to be ideal for parlay betting, because the odds to be paid out are simply the product of the odds for each outcome wagered on. Decimal odds are also favoured by betting exchanges because they are the easiest to work with for trading. Decimal odds are also known as European odds, digital odds or continental odds. The figure quoted is either positive or negative.In addition to create, you can now delete tags, push tags, and create a new branch from tags.
Visual Studio Team Services users can now check out pull request branches, which makes it easier to review pull requests, test changes, and build your code. Last month we introduced the App Authentication Extension which makes it easy to configure your machine to use these protected settings so that you can develop and debug apps locally using your Visual Studio credentials. With Visual Studio Version 15. Learn more about managing secrets in the cloud. With Visual Studio 2017 version 15.
In addition, the ImageWatch extension has been updated to work with Visual Studio 2017IntelliSense for Python code now no longer requires a completion database. Instead of waiting up to four hours after installing a new package, you can start using it immediately.
We have also added experimental support for managing Anaconda packages, new code snippets, and more customizable syntax highlighting.
Read our blog post for full details on these improvements and how to enable our experimental features. Real time test discovery is a new Visual Studio feature for managed projects that uses the Roslyn compiler to discover tests and populate the Test Explorer in real-time without requiring you to build your project. This feature was introduced behind a feature flag in version 15.
This feature not only makes test discovery significantly faster, but it also keeps the Test Explorer in sync with code changes such as adding or removing tests. To learn more, check out the Real Time Test Discovery blog post and Channel9 video. With this Preview, Visual Studio now supports configuring continuous delivery to Azure for Team Foundation Version Control (TFVC), Git SSH remotes, and Web Apps for containers.
Read more about these features on this post about Continuous Delivery Tools for Visual Studio. The WCF Web Service Reference connected service provider now supports updating an existing service reference. This simplifies the process for regenerating the WCF client proxy code for an updated web service.
This will regenerate the Reference. Please note, this feature is not supported for service references added to the project using a previous version of Visual Studio 2017.
Remember that Visual Studio 2017 Previews can be installed with other versions of Visual Studio and other installs of Visual Studio 2017 without adversely affecting either your machine or your productivity. Similarly, the Previews enable the Visual Studio Engineering team to validate usage, incorporate suggestions, and detect flaws earlier in the development process. We are highly responsive to feedback coming in through the Previews and look forward to hearing from you. Please Install the Visual Studio 2017 Preview today, exercise your favorite workloads, and tell us what you think.
You can report issues to us via the Report a Problem tool in Visual Studio or you can share a suggestion on UserVoice.
You can also engage with us and other Visual Studio developers through our Visual Studio conversation in the Gitter community (requires GitHub account). Christine is on the Visual Studio release engineering team and is responsible for making Visual Studio releases available to our customers around the world. Back totop Download Visual Studio Subscribe Facebook Twitter YouTube Related Resources Visual Studio Product Website Visual Studio Developer Center Getting Started Resources Write, Navigate, Fix your Code Debug, Profile, Diagnose your Code Search this blog Search all blogs jQuery(document).He filmed his scenes, like, last week.
Mandy Moore for Best TV Actress, Drama: Moore scored her first Golden Globe nomination last year for her portrayal of Rebecca Pearson on This Is Us, but the current second season features some of her best acting work yet. Freddie Highmore for Best TV Actor, Drama: The Globes often recognize the newest success story and this year, it's easily The Good Doctor, which is the season's most-watched new show.
Highmore, who showcased his enviable range on Bates Motel, is the not-so-secret weapon to the ABC medical drama's quick rise. Shaun Murphy, a young surgeon who has autism and savant syndrome, he adds a level of heart and warmth to his character's daily struggle to adapt socially and professionally that has struck a chord with audiences.
Biel turned heads in the dark and gripping crime drama, The Sinner, in her excellent portrayal of Cora Tannetti, a young wife and mother who stabs a man to death in front of her family on a public beach but doesn't know why. Biel delivered a career-defining performance in the eight-episode series, convincingly peeling back a complex woman's layers as the episodes went on, and proved she's more than ready (and deserving) to become a serious awards contender. Alison Brie for Best TV Actress, Comedy: Brie is mesmerizing as actress-turned-pro wrestler Ruth Wilder, aka Zoya the Destroya, on Netflix's GLOW and we're pretty confident she'll score her first nomination come Monday morning.
If anything, Brie should be recognized solely for her memorable (and impressive) one-woman wrestling scene. Jonathan Groff for Best TV Actor, Drama: There's something compelling about Groff in Netflix's psychological drama, Mindhunter, and his work could lead to his very first Globe nomination. The two-time Tony nominee is a force in the theater world, but he's quietly been taking the small screen by storm with critically-acclaimed roles (see: HBO's Looking).
With Mindhunter, Groff ups the ante in his most unexpected role to date as a baby-faced FBI profiler obsessed with hunting serial killers. Seth Meyers Set to Host 2018 Golden Globes for the First TimeSimone Johnson Reveals Dad Dwayne's 'Great Advice' Ahead of Her Hitting Golden Globes StageOscar Predictions, Round 1: Will It Be Another Controversial Year of Academy Awards.
Here are 10 movie and TV nominations we would love to see. RELATED CONTENT: Share Share on Facebook Tweet Share on Twitter Latest News Liam Payne Shares How Fatherhood Has Changed Him (Exclusive)Dream Kardashian Makes First Appearance in Family Christmas Card -- See the Adorable Pic.
All Rights Reserved googletag. Sometimes, someone says something that turns out to be an incorrect prediction. In hindsight, however, the people who said these things may have had good reasons for thinking they were right.Match 30: Italy v Brazil - FIFA Beach Soccer World Cup 2017
Jump to: navigation, searchSometimes, someone says something that turns out to be an incorrect prediction. Lord Kelvin, allegedly speaking to the British Association for the Advancement of Science in 1900. The veracity of this attribution is disputed, and no contemporaneous documentation of the statement is known.
Variation: No one will need more than 640 kilobytes of memory for a personal computer. Attributed to Bill Gates, 1981. Gates has denied saying either variation, and no verifiable source is known. Duell, Comissioner of the US Patent Office, 1899. Although most commonly attributed to him, (it has also been attributed to anonymous US Patent Office employees of varying dates, as well as British ones), there is no evidence that Duell ever held this opinion, let alone stated it.
This proposal was tested in two studies examining predictions of personal spending. Consistent with the hypotheses, individuals induced to construe the prediction target at a higher level of abstraction generated more accurate predictions (Study 1) and the effect of increased construal level on prediction was attributable to a greater reliance on past experience (Studies 1 and 2).